UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Flyweight
VS
51%
Moreno
49%
Royval
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Brandon
Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
23 – 10
5'7"70" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Brandon
Brandon Royval
"Raw Dawg"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'9"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moreno

This is a genuine toss-up — Moreno at 51% vs Royval at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Royval throws more volume but Moreno connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Moreno's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Royval has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Moreno
Royval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"+
Reach
68"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moreno
Royval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.8
50.3
52.5
Performance Avg
48.2
47
Quality of Victory
42
54
Momentum Score
62
Moreno
Royval
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
34
10
Body
6
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
26Distance41
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Moreno
Royval
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moreno
Royval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
40
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/33 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Moreno
Royval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
62
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Moreno
Royval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moreno
Royval
Striking3.0 / 2.6Volume4.9 / 4.6Grappling3.3 / 4.5Wrestling2.3 / 3.1Submission2.7 / 4.3Pressure5.0 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Moreno
Strike Zones
Royval
Moreno
Attacking
15HEAD10BODY4LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD6BODY1LEGS41 absorbed
Royval
Attacking
34HEAD6BODY1LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD10BODY4LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moreno targets the head (52% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Royval targets the head (83% of attacks) — Moreno absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moreno
RND
Royval
0/0R00/0

Moreno · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W4.5W5.2W5.5L6.8L5.4W4.5W5.8W6.3W6.6L6.1W5.3W6.8L6.3L5.8W5.1W4.5L6.2L2016-102019-122022-072025-032026-02
WinLossTrend

Royval · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.3W6.1W2.4L4.0L4.5W5.2W5.2W6.8L5.4W6.2W7.1L3.2L2020-052021-082023-042024-102025-12
WinLossTrend

Moreno · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Royval · Last 5

Upcoming
Lone'er Kavanagh
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Brandon Moreno · Brandon Royval
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