METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
1 Feb 2025
Featherweight
VS
72%
Grad
28%
Alexander
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:22
★ Official Result
Bogdan GradwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:22
def. Lucas Alexander · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grad
→
Actual result
Grad wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Grad is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grad has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Risk flags
Alexander has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GradAlexander
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grad
Alexander
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
30+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grad
Alexander
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
22.8
51.4
Performance Avg
25.0
52
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
28
Grad
Alexander
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
8.5
Style: Pressure
0.8
1.0
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
9
1
Body
6
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance18
2Clinch1
34Ground0
Grad
Alexander
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grad
Alexander
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
44
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Grad
Alexander
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
28
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Grad
Alexander
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grad
Alexander
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
GradAlexander
Strike Zones
Grad
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedAlexander
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grad targets the head (90% of attacks) — Alexander absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Alexander targets the head (47% of attacks) — Grad absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grad
RND
Alexander
0/0R00/0
Grad · Last 4
W · Sub · R2
Dennis BuzukjaSubmission
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W · KO · R2
Lucas AlexanderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
Alexander · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Bogdan GradKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · KO · R1
Jeka SaragihKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Steven PetersonDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Joanderson BritoSubmission
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