UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Lightweight
VS
58%
Sadykhov
42%
Motta
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:17
Nazim
Nazim Sadykhov
"Black Wolf"
11 – 2
5'10"69" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Nikolas
Nikolas Motta
"Iron"
15 – 6
Striker33 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sadykhov

This is a genuine toss-up — Sadykhov at 58% vs Motta at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Motta throws more volume but Sadykhov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Motta has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sadykhov
Motta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
69"
Reach
+70"
32+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sadykhov
Motta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.5
47.4
55.9
Performance Avg
49.0
40
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
41
Sadykhov
Motta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
39
Head
23
13
Body
7
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
33Distance26
19Clinch4
2Ground0
Sadykhov
Motta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sadykhov
Motta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
34
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Sadykhov
Motta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
41
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · R1
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Sadykhov
Motta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sadykhov
Motta
Striking4.1 / 7.7Volume1.6 / 3.7Grappling2.0 / 0.8Wrestling1.4 / 0.6Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Sadykhov
Strike Zones
Motta
Sadykhov
Attacking
39HEAD13BODY2LEGS54 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD7BODY0LEGS30 absorbed
Motta
Attacking
23HEAD7BODY0LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD13BODY2LEGS54 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sadykhov targets the head (72% of attacks) — Motta absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Motta targets the head (77% of attacks) — Sadykhov absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sadykhov
RND
Motta
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Sadykhov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.1W6.8W4.4W5.9W3.9L2023-022023-072025-022025-062025-12
WinLossTrend

Motta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0103.2L5.0W3.6L6.5W4.8W4.2L2022-022022-092023-062024-012024-112025-06
WinLossTrend

Sadykhov · Last 5

Upcoming
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KO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Nikolas MottaRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · R1
Ismael BonfimRating 4.4
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Decision
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Motta · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nazim SadykhovRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
MaheshateRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Tom NolanRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Trey Ogden
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Nazim Sadykhov · Nikolas Motta
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