UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
Louisville, USA
8 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
42%
Stamann
58%
Lapilus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lapilus
This is a genuine toss-up — Stamann at 42% vs Lapilus at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stamann has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stamann's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stamann
Lapilus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
64"
Reach
+73"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stamann
Lapilus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.0
49.7
38.0
Performance Avg
48.0
30
Quality of Victory
30
53
Momentum Score
85
Stamann
Lapilus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
48%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
27
7
Body
4
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance33
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Stamann
Lapilus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stamann
Lapilus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Stamann
Lapilus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
85
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Stamann
Lapilus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
17%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stamann
Lapilus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.2
StamannLapilus
Strike Zones
Stamann
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedLapilus
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stamann targets the body (47% of attacks) — Lapilus absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Lapilus targets the head (77% of attacks) — Stamann absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stamann
RND
Lapilus
0/0R00/0
Stamann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lapilus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Stamann · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
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Taylor LapilusRating 6.2Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Luan LacerdaRating 5Decision
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W · KO · R1
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Lapilus · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Leandro IssaRating 4.5Decision
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