UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Charlotte, USA
13 May 2023
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Rozenstruik
55%
Almeida
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:43
Jairzinho
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
15 – 6
6'2"78" reachOrthodox38 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 57
Jailton
Jailton Almeida
"Malhadinho"
22 – 5
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"
CFR 71

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Almeida

This is a genuine toss-up — Rozenstruik at 45% vs Almeida at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rozenstruik's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rozenstruik
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
78"
Reach
+79"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
70.9
56.7
Performance Avg
61.0
54
Quality of Victory
53
56
Momentum Score
100
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
64%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
8 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
88%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rozenstruik
Almeida
Striking10.0 / 5.2Volume2.1 / 2.5Grappling0.3 / 4.3Wrestling0.2 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure8.0 / 8.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Rozenstruik
Strike Zones
Almeida
Rozenstruik
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Almeida
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (75% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rozenstruik
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0

Rozenstruik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.7W5.5W1.9L5.2W7.2L5.2W6.4L2.8L5.3W3.3L6.0W4.9W6.7L2019-022020-052021-092024-032025-02
WinLossTrend

Almeida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.2W6.1W5.7W3.7L5.8W5.5W6.8L5.8L2022-022023-012024-032025-102026-02
WinLossTrend

Rozenstruik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

Almeida · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Jailton Almeida
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