METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Charlotte, USA
13 May 2023
Heavyweight
VS
42%
Rozenstruik
58%
Almeida
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:43
★ Official Result
Jailton AlmeidawinsSubmissionR1 · 3:43
def. Jairzinho Rozenstruik · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almeida
→
Actual result
Almeida wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rozenstruik at 42% vs Almeida at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rozenstruik's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RozenstruikAlmeida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
78"
Reach
+79"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
70.9
56.7
Performance Avg
61.0
54
Quality of Victory
53
56
Momentum Score
100
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
8.3
2.1
Style: Volume
2.5
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
88%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rozenstruik
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
RozenstruikAlmeida
Strike Zones
Rozenstruik
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (75% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rozenstruik
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
Rozenstruik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausKO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovSubmission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03