UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Brasilia, Brazil
13 Sept 2014
Featherweight
VS
89%
Pepey
11%
Johnson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pepey
Pepey is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pepey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Striking split: Pepey throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pepey's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pepey
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
73"
Reach
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pepey
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
2.1
47.8
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Pepey
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
63%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch1
5Ground3
Pepey
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
1.0
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pepey
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Pepey
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Pepey
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pepey
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PepeyJohnson
Strike Zones
Pepey
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pepey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Pepey absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pepey
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Pepey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Pepey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mirsad BekticRating 1.5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Shane BurgosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Andre FiliRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
Johnson · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Godofredo PepeyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06