METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
Los Angeles, USA
4 Aug 2012
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Fries
11%
Thompson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:16
★ Official Result
Philip De FrieswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:16
def. Oli Thompson · UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fries
→
Actual result
Fries wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Fries is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Risk flags
Fries's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thompson has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FriesThompson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fries
Thompson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
75"
40+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fries
Thompson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
1.8
38.3
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Fries
Thompson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.8
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
2
2
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance4
6Clinch2
7Ground0
Fries
Thompson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fries
Thompson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/27 fights
Fries
Thompson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Fries
Thompson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fries
Thompson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
FriesThompson
Strike Zones
Fries
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedThompson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fries targets the head (92% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Thompson targets the body (50% of attacks) — Fries absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fries
RND
Thompson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fries · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeKO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · Sub · R2
Oli ThompsonSubmission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Rob BroughtonDecision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
Thompson · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Philip De FriesSubmission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R2
Shawn JordanKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03