UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
Los Angeles, USA
4 Aug 2012
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Fries
11%
Thompson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fries
Fries is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Fries has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fries's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thompson has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fries
Thompson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
75"
40+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fries
Thompson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
1.8
38.3
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Fries
Thompson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
2
2
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance4
6Clinch2
7Ground0
Fries
Thompson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fries
Thompson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/27 fights
Fries
Thompson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Fries
Thompson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fries
Thompson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
FriesThompson
Strike Zones
Fries
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedThompson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fries targets the head (92% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Thompson targets the body (50% of attacks) — Fries absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fries
RND
Thompson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fries · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Thompson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Fries · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · Sub · R2
Oli ThompsonRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Rob BroughtonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
Thompson · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Philip De FriesRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R2
Shawn JordanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03