UFC 55: Fury
Uncasville, USA
7 Oct 2005
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Sobral
46%
Sonnen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sobral
This is a genuine toss-up — Sobral at 54% vs Sonnen at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sobral has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sobral's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sonnen has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sobral
Sonnen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
50
Age
+49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Sobral
Sonnen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
12.8
49.2
Performance Avg
40.4
42
Quality of Victory
34
26
Momentum Score
45
Sobral
Sonnen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Sobral
Sonnen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sobral
Sonnen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/48 fights
Chin rating based on
14/44 fights
Sobral
Sonnen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
45
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Sobral
Sonnen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sobral
Sonnen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
SobralSonnen
Strike Zones
Sobral
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSonnen
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sobral targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sonnen absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sonnen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sobral absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sobral
RND
Sonnen
0/0R00/0
Sobral · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Sonnen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Sobral · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
David HeathRating 5.2Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · KO · R2
Jason LambertRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Mike van ArsdaleRating 5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10
Sonnen · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rashad EvansRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01