METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo
Las Vegas, USA
15 Oct 2022
Middleweight
VS
32%
Wright
68%
Todorovic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:12
JW
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Dusko TodorovicwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:12
def. Jordan Wright · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Todorovic
→
Actual result
Todorovic wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Todorovic holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Wright has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Todorovic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Wright's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Todorovic has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WrightTodorovic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Wright
Todorovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wright
Todorovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
39.1
38.4
Performance Avg
48.1
45
Quality of Victory
56
13
Momentum Score
0
Wright
Todorovic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
8.2
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
8.1
0.6
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
48
4
Body
10
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance18
2Clinch26
0Ground14
Wright
Todorovic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wright
Todorovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Wright
Todorovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Wright
Todorovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wright
Todorovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
WrightTodorovic
Strike Zones
Wright
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
58 absorbedTodorovic
Attacking
58 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wright targets the head (50% of attacks) — Todorovic absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Todorovic targets the head (83% of attacks) — Wright absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wright
RND
Todorovic
0/0R00/0
Wright · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zac PaugaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Jamie PickettKO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
Todorovic · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Robert ValentinSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Mansur Abdul-MalikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
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