UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo
Las Vegas, USA
15 Oct 2022
Middleweight
VS
37%
Wright
63%
Todorovic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:12
JW
Jordan Wright
"The Beverly Hills Ninja"
12 – 5
6'2"77" reachOrthodox34 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
Dusko
Dusko Todorovic
"Thunder"
13 – 6
Knockout Artist32 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Todorovic

Todorovic holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Wright has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Todorovic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Todorovic throws more volume but Wright connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Wright's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Todorovic has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Wright
Todorovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wright
Todorovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.0
43.1
38.4
Performance Avg
49.6
45
Quality of Victory
56
13
Momentum Score
13
Wright
Todorovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
3.4
60%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
48
4
Body
10
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance18
2Clinch26
0Ground14
Wright
Todorovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wright
Todorovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Wright
Todorovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
13
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Wright
Todorovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wright
Todorovic
Striking5.6 / 8.3Volume0.6 / 0.8Grappling0.0 / 2.0Wrestling0.0 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure4.4 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Wright
Strike Zones
Todorovic
Wright
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
48HEAD10BODY0LEGS58 absorbed
Todorovic
Attacking
48HEAD10BODY0LEGS58 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wright targets the head (50% of attacks) — Todorovic absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Todorovic targets the head (83% of attacks) — Wright absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wright
RND
Todorovic
0/0R00/0

Wright · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.0W3.9L5.0W2.8L1.5L3.2L5.5L2020-082021-052022-042023-02
WinLossTrend

Todorovic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W2.5L7.1L5.0W2.6L5.2W3.0L3.4L6.5L5.0W2020-102021-122023-032025-09
WinLossTrend

Wright · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Zac PaugaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Jamie PickettRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05

Todorovic · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Mansur Abdul-MalikRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · KO · R2
Jordan WrightRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

News & Media

Jordan Wright · Dusko Todorovic
← Back to fights