UFC 30: Battle on the Boardwalk
Atlantic City, USA
23 Feb 2001
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Rizzo
54%
Barnett
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barnett
This is a genuine toss-up — Rizzo at 46% vs Barnett at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Barnett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Barnett has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rizzo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barnett has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rizzo
Barnett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
Reach
78"
52
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rizzo
Barnett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
25.3
53.4
Performance Avg
66.2
46
Quality of Victory
64
91
Momentum Score
100
Rizzo
Barnett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
61%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
10
0
Body
3
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
10Distance15
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Rizzo
Barnett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rizzo
Barnett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
10/43 fights
Rizzo
Barnett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Rizzo
Barnett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
86%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rizzo
Barnett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
RizzoBarnett
Strike Zones
Rizzo
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedBarnett
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rizzo targets the head (64% of attacks) — Barnett absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Barnett targets the head (53% of attacks) — Rizzo absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rizzo
RND
Barnett
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rizzo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Barnett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Rizzo · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ricco RodriguezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · R2
Tra TelligmanRating 4.2UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
L · KO · R1
Gan McGeeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
W · KO · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03
Barnett · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Sub · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R5
Roy NelsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
W · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08