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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Middleweight
VS
45%
Anders
55%
Duncan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:53
Eryk
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
189
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Christian
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
142
Striker5-fight win streak31 yrsSwitch79" reach6'2"
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Christian Leroy DuncanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:53
def. Eryk Anders · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Duncan
Actual result
Duncan wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Anders at 45% vs Duncan at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AndersDuncan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Anders
Duncan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+79"
39
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Anders
Duncan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
63.4
45.4
Performance Avg
59.0
41
Quality of Victory
45
79
Momentum Score
72
Anders
Duncan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
7.8
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
6.8
5.0
Style: Volume
4.6
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
4
Body
3
1
Leg
12
RangeRange
4Distance20
3Clinch3
0Ground1
Anders
Duncan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anders
Duncan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Anders
Duncan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
72
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Anders
Duncan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
63%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anders
Duncan
Striking6.0 / 7.8Volume5.0 / 4.6Grappling1.2 / 0.9Wrestling0.8 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.1 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Anders
Strike Zones
Duncan
Anders
Attacking
2HEAD4BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY12LEGS24 absorbed
Duncan
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY12LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD4BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the body (57% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Duncan targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anders
RND
Duncan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Anders · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Brad Tavares
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy Duncan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Chris Weidman
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie Pickett
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre Barriault
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06

Duncan · Last 5

Upcoming
Brendan Allen
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Jared Cannonier
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Roman Dolidze
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marco Tulio
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Eryk Anders
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

News & Media

Eryk Anders · Christian Leroy Duncan
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