UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2 Sept 2017
Middleweight
VS
93%
Bahadurzada
7%
Wilkinson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bahadurzada
Bahadurzada is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bahadurzada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Striking split: Wilkinson throws more volume but Bahadurzada connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Wilkinson has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bahadurzada
Wilkinson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+80"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bahadurzada
Wilkinson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.4
1.6
52.2
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Bahadurzada
Wilkinson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
44%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
8
0
Body
2
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
10Distance15
5Clinch0
11Ground0
Bahadurzada
Wilkinson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bahadurzada
Wilkinson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Bahadurzada
Wilkinson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Bahadurzada
Wilkinson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bahadurzada
Wilkinson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BahadurzadaWilkinson
Strike Zones
Bahadurzada
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedWilkinson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bahadurzada targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wilkinson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Wilkinson targets the head (53% of attacks) — Bahadurzada absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bahadurzada
RND
Wilkinson
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0
Bahadurzada · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Wilkinson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Bahadurzada · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis MillenderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R2
Luan ChagasRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Rob WilkinsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Sub · R3
Brandon ThatchRating 5.5Submission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
Wilkinson · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09