UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Sacramento, USA
13 Jul 2019
Bantamweight
VS
30%
Faber
70%
Simon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Simon
Simon is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Simon throws more volume but Faber connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Faber's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Simon has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Faber
Simon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+69"
47
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Faber
Simon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
48.8
49.4
Performance Avg
48.0
42
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
56
Faber
Simon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
1
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Faber
Simon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Faber
Simon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/46 fights
Chin rating based on
17/29 fights
Faber
Simon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Faber
Simon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Faber
Simon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
FaberSimon
Strike Zones
Faber
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSimon
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Faber targets the head (82% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Simon targets the head (50% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Faber
RND
Simon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Faber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Simon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Simon · Last 5
Upcoming
Adrian YanezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Javid BasharatRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06