Magomed Mustafaev vs Rafael Fiziev — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik

Saint Petersburg, Russia

20 Apr 2019

Lightweight

27%

Mustafaev

73%

Fiziev

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:26

Magomed Mustafaev

"The Sniper"

14 – 4

5'8"71" reachOrthodox38 yrsStriker

CFR 21

Rafael Fiziev

"Ataman"

13 – 5

Well-Rounded33 yrsSwitch71" reach5'8"

CFR 57

★ Official Result

Magomed MustafaevwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:26

def. Rafael Fiziev · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Fiziev

→

Actual result

Mustafaev wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Fiziev is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Fiziev has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

MustafaevFiziev

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Mustafaev

Fiziev

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

5'8"

71"

Reach

71"

Age

+33

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

Mustafaev

Fiziev

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

20.6

56.9

53.5

Performance Avg

49.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Mustafaev

Fiziev

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.9

/ 10

6.2

/ 10

6.5

Style: Pressure

5.3

1.2

Style: Volume

5.2

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance1

0Clinch0

6Ground0

Mustafaev

Fiziev

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.0

/ 10

1.2

/ 10

0.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.8

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Mustafaev

Fiziev

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.7 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

5/18 fights

Chin rating based on

13/18 fights

Mustafaev

Fiziev

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Sub · R2

W · KO · R1

W · R2

Last 5

W · KO · R2

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Mustafaev

Fiziev

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mustafaev

Fiziev

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.2

0.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.2

0.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.8

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.3

1.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.2

Mustafaev

Strike Zones

Fiziev

Mustafaev

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Fiziev

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Mustafaev targets the head (70% of attacks) — Fiziev absorbs 70% of strikes there

🎯Fiziev targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Mustafaev absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mustafaev

RND

Fiziev

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Mustafaev · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Brad Riddell

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02

W · KO · R1

Rafael Fiziev

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

L · Sub · R2

Kevin Lee

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

W · KO · R1

Joe Proctor

KO/TKO

UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · 2015-12

W · R2

Piotr Hallmann

UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06

Fiziev · Last 5

W · KO · R2

Manuel Torres

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06

L · KO · R2

Mauricio Ruffy

KO/TKO

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01

W · Dec · R3

Ignacio Bahamondes

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06

L · Dec · R3

Justin Gaethje

Decision

UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

L · KO · R2

Mateusz Gamrot

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09

News & Media

Magomed Mustafaev · Rafael Fiziev

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