UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
45%
Peek
55%
Ashmouz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Trevor
Trevor Peek
9 – 3
5'9"70" reachSwitch31 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Yanal
Yanal Ashmouz
"Red Fox"
8 – 2
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'9"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ashmouz

This is a genuine toss-up — Peek at 45% vs Ashmouz at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Peek throws more volume but Ashmouz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Peek
Ashmouz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"+
Reach
69"
31
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Peek
Ashmouz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.9
52.1
41.5
Performance Avg
45.5
43
Quality of Victory
43
43
Momentum Score
58
Peek
Ashmouz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
15
5
Body
7
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
16Distance12
1Clinch11
0Ground5
Peek
Ashmouz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Peek
Ashmouz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Peek
Ashmouz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
58
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Peek
Ashmouz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Peek
Ashmouz
Striking5.8 / 6.0Volume4.8 / 5.0Grappling1.2 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Peek
Strike Zones
Ashmouz
Peek
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD7BODY6LEGS28 absorbed
Ashmouz
Attacking
15HEAD7BODY6LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Peek targets the head (71% of attacks) — Ashmouz absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Ashmouz targets the head (54% of attacks) — Peek absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Peek
RND
Ashmouz
0/0R00/0

Peek · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W6.6L4.5W6.6L6.4L2023-022023-062023-102024-042024-09
WinLossTrend

Ashmouz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.5
0106.7W6.8L4.8W7.6L2023-032023-072024-092025-06
WinLossTrend

Peek · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Yanal AshmouzRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Charlie CampbellRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Mohammad YahyaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Erick GonzalezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

Ashmouz · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Quillan SalkilldRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PeekRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Chris DuncanRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · KO · R1
Sam PattersonRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Trevor Peek · Yanal Ashmouz
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