Iuri Alcantara vs Pedro Nobre — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping

Sao Paulo, Brazil

19 Jan 2013

Bantamweight

19%

Alcantara

81%

Nobre

Win Probability

Iuri Alcantara

"Marajo"

35 – 10

5'9"71" reachSouthpaw46 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 17

Pedro Nobre

"The Rock"

18 – 4

40 yrs5'5"

CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nobre

Nobre is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Risk flags

Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

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Alcantara

Nobre

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"+

Height

5'5"

71"

Reach

Age

+40

Southpaw

Stance

—

Alcantara

Nobre

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

16.9

—

48.0

Performance Avg

—

Quality of Victory

—

Momentum Score

—

Alcantara

Nobre

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

4.2

/ 10

—

/ 10

5.3

Style: Pressure

—

5.2

Style: Volume

—

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

6Distance3

0Clinch0

14Ground0

Alcantara

Nobre

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

2.8

/ 10

—

/ 10

2.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

—

2.0

Submission Style (/10)

—

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Alcantara

Nobre

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

—

KO risk

Verdict

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

18/45 fights

Chin rating based on

1/22 fights

Alcantara

Nobre

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

—

L · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

Upcoming

Alcantara

Nobre

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

—

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alcantara

Nobre

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

—

2.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

—

2.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

—

2.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

—

5.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

—

5.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

—

Alcantara

Strike Zones

Nobre

Alcantara

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Nobre

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Alcantara targets the head (85% of attacks) — Nobre absorbs 85% of strikes there

🎯Nobre targets the head (33% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alcantara

RND

Nobre

0/0R00/0

Alcantara · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Cory Sandhagen

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08

W · KO · R1

Joe Soto

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

L · Dec · R3

Alejandro Perez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12

L · Sub · R1

Brian Kelleher

Submission

UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06

W · Sub · R2

Luke Sanders

Submission

UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

Nobre · Last 1

Upcoming

Iuri Alcantara

UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01

News & Media

Iuri Alcantara · Pedro Nobre

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