UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Jan 2013
Bantamweight
VS
19%
Alcantara
81%
Nobre
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nobre
Nobre is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
Alcantara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alcantara
Nobre
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'5"
71"
Reach
45
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
—
Alcantara
Nobre
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
—
48.0
Performance Avg
—
41
Quality of Victory
—
49
Momentum Score
—
Alcantara
Nobre
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
30%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
—
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
1
3
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Alcantara
Nobre
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
—
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
—
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alcantara
Nobre
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
—
KO risk
Verdict
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
1/22 fights
Alcantara
Nobre
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
—
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
Alcantara
Nobre
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
—
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Nobre
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
—
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
—
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
—
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
—
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
—
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
—
AlcantaraNobre
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNobre
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (85% of attacks) — Nobre absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Nobre targets the head (33% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Nobre
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Nobre · Last 1
Upcoming
Iuri AlcantaraUFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01