UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jun 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
84%
Agapova
16%
Cifers
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Agapova
Agapova is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Agapova has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Cifers throws more volume but Agapova connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Agapova's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cifers has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Agapova
Cifers
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'1"
68"+
Reach
62"
29+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Agapova
Cifers
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.9
7.9
43.0
Performance Avg
26.4
50
Quality of Victory
25
33
Momentum Score
20
Agapova
Cifers
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
4
8
Body
3
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
19Distance7
10Clinch4
0Ground0
Agapova
Cifers
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Agapova
Cifers
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Agapova
Cifers
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Agapova
Cifers
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Agapova
Cifers
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
AgapovaCifers
Strike Zones
Agapova
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedCifers
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Agapova targets the head (69% of attacks) — Cifers absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Cifers targets the head (36% of attacks) — Agapova absorbs 36% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Agapova
RND
Cifers
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Agapova · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Cifers · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Agapova · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Luana SantosRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Sub · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R2
Maryna MorozRating 3.3Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Sub · R3
Sabina MazoRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Shana DobsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
Cifers · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Mallory MartinRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Sub · R1
Mariya AgapovaRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · KO · R2
Angela HillRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
W · Dec · R3
Jodie EsquibelRating 4.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08