★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
New York City, USA
15 Nov 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
46%
Shevchenko
54%
Weili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Weili
This is a genuine toss-up — Shevchenko at 46% vs Weili at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Weili throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Shevchenko
Weili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
63"
38
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Shevchenko
Weili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.2
71.6
66.5
Performance Avg
66.9
55
Quality of Victory
60
53
Momentum Score
100
Shevchenko
Weili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
58%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
3
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
2Clinch3
1Ground0
Shevchenko
Weili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shevchenko
Weili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
13/30 fights
Shevchenko
Weili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
100
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Shevchenko
Weili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
9
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shevchenko
Weili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
ShevchenkoWeili
Strike Zones
Shevchenko
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedWeili
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the body (75% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Weili targets the body (60% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shevchenko
RND
Weili
0/0R00/0
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Weili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 6.1Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa GrassoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa GrassoRating 4.6Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Weili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Tatiana SuarezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Carla EsparzaRating 5.4Submission
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