UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Las Vegas, USA
18 Jan 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
26%
Modafferi
74%
Barber
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
25 – 21
5'7"69" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
Maycee
Maycee Barber
"The Future"
15 – 3
Well-Rounded28 yrsSwitch65" reach5'5"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barber

Barber is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barber has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Modafferi
Barber
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
65"
43
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Modafferi
Barber
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
54.8
34.7
Performance Avg
53.3
36
Quality of Victory
38
15
Momentum Score
65
Modafferi
Barber
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
31%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Modafferi
Barber
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Modafferi
Barber
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Modafferi
Barber
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Barber
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Modafferi
Barber
Striking3.2 / 5.5Volume6.7 / 6.3Grappling1.8 / 1.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.8 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Modafferi
Strike Zones
Barber
Modafferi
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Barber
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Barber absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Barber targets the head (100% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Modafferi
RND
Barber
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Modafferi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.1L5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W6.3L4.9W6.2L5.7L6.7L2013-112018-112020-012021-012022-02
WinLossTrend

Barber · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.9W6.2W5.5L6.7L5.3W5.5W4.5W4.9W5.4W4.8W5.7W2.7L2018-112021-022023-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Modafferi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

Barber · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alexa GrassoRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · KO · R2
Amanda RibasRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

News & Media

Roxanne Modafferi · Maycee Barber
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