METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2018
Middleweight
VS
33%
Chirico
67%
Marquez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00

Julian Marquez
"The Cuban Missile Crisis"
9 – 6
Submission Hunter4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'2"
CFR 41
★ Official Result
Alessio Di ChiricowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Julian Marquez · The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Marquez
→
Actual result
Chirico wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Marquez holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Chirico has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Chirico's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marquez has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiricoMarquez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chirico
Marquez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chirico
Marquez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
41.2
39.3
Performance Avg
43.8
41
Quality of Victory
48
25
Momentum Score
46
Chirico
Marquez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
8.1
4.7
Style: Volume
0.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
11
5
Body
7
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
22Distance17
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Chirico
Marquez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chirico
Marquez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Chirico
Marquez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
46
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Chirico
Marquez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chirico
Marquez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
ChiricoMarquez
Strike Zones
Chirico
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMarquez
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chirico targets the head (64% of attacks) — Marquez absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Marquez targets the head (58% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chirico
RND
Marquez
0/0R00/0
Chirico · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin BuckleyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
Marquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody BrundageKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Zach ReeseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marc-Andre BarriaultKO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Sam AlveySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04