UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2016
Welterweight
VS
66%
Mein
34%
Meek
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mein
Mein holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Meek has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mein has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Meek throws more volume but Mein connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Mein's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mein
Meek
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+74"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Mein
Meek
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
9.9
45.6
Performance Avg
25.0
39
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
22
Mein
Meek
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
0
Body
7
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance5
1Clinch0
0Ground8
Mein
Meek
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mein
Meek
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/43 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Mein
Meek
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Mein
Meek
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mein
Meek
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MeinMeek
Strike Zones
Mein
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedMeek
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mein targets the head (100% of attacks) — Meek absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Meek targets the body (54% of attacks) — Mein absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mein
RND
Meek
0/0R00/0
Mein · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Meek · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Mein · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Emil MeekRating 5.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
Meek · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 4.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12