UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Browne
52%
Mitrione
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mitrione
This is a genuine toss-up — Browne at 48% vs Mitrione at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mitrione has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Browne's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mitrione has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Browne
Mitrione
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
+82"
43+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Browne
Mitrione
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
21.9
55.1
Performance Avg
58.4
54
Quality of Victory
54
78
Momentum Score
82
Browne
Mitrione
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
2
3
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch1
25Ground0
Browne
Mitrione
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Browne
Mitrione
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/25 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Browne
Mitrione
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
82
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Browne
Mitrione
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
89%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Browne
Mitrione
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
BrowneMitrione
Strike Zones
Browne
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMitrione
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Browne targets the head (90% of attacks) — Mitrione absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Mitrione targets the head (40% of attacks) — Browne absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Browne
RND
Mitrione
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Browne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Mitrione · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Browne · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikRating 2.8Submission
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
Mitrione · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Travis BrowneRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03