METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
12 Sept 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
33%
Modafferi
67%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Roxanne ModafferiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Andrea Lee · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Modafferi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lee holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Modafferi has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ModafferiLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Modafferi
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
69"
Reach
69"
43
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Modafferi
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
38.8
34.7
Performance Avg
35.8
36
Quality of Victory
36
15
Momentum Score
53
Modafferi
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.8
Style: Pressure
3.9
6.7
Style: Volume
5.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
12
1
Body
6
1
Leg
10
RangeRange
19Distance27
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Modafferi
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Modafferi
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Modafferi
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Modafferi
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
ModafferiLee
Strike Zones
Modafferi
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedLee
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (89% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (43% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Modafferi
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Modafferi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillDecision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosDecision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaDecision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
