UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Dallas, USA
8 Sept 2018
Middleweight
VS
38%
Byrd
62%
Stewart
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stewart
Stewart holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Byrd has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Byrd has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Byrd has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Byrd's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Byrd
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Byrd
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
26.9
42.4
Performance Avg
42.3
54
Quality of Victory
43
43
Momentum Score
68
Byrd
Stewart
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
11
2
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance7
4Clinch7
0Ground0
Byrd
Stewart
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Byrd
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
46
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Byrd
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
68
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Byrd
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Byrd
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
ByrdStewart
Strike Zones
Byrd
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedStewart
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Byrd targets the head (80% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Stewart targets the head (79% of attacks) — Byrd absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Byrd
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Byrd · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Byrd · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Maki PitoloRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Darren StewartRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Sub · R1
John PhillipsRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08