METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Lightweight
VS
73%
Edwards
27%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:44
★ Official Result
Yves EdwardswinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:44
def. Rafaello Oliveira · UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Edwards
→
Actual result
Edwards wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Edwards is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Edwards has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Edwards
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
49
Age
+44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
7.2
47.6
Performance Avg
25.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
85
Momentum Score
15
Edwards
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
30%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
8
2
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance12
7Clinch0
12Ground0
Edwards
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
18
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/64 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Edwards
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
15
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Edwards
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
EdwardsOliveira
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (86% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy MedeirosUFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Erik KochRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Yoislandy IzquierdoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R2
Yves EdwardsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauRating 2.8Submission
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05