METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Lightweight
VS
73%
Edwards
27%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:44
★ Official Result
Yves EdwardswinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:44
def. Rafaello Oliveira · UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Edwards
→
Actual result
Edwards wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Edwards is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Edwards has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Edwards
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
49
Age
+44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
7.2
47.6
Performance Avg
25.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
85
Momentum Score
15
Edwards
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
0.8
3.4
Style: Volume
8.5
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
8
2
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance12
7Clinch0
12Ground0
Edwards
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
18
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/64 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Edwards
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
15
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Edwards
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
EdwardsOliveira
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (86% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy MedeirosUFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggDecision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Erik KochKO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Yoislandy IzquierdoDecision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R2
Yves EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauSubmission
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05