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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
Fortaleza, Brazil
11 Mar 2017
Lightweight
VS
47%
Trinaldo
53%
Lee
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:12
FT
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
289
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 32
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
188
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox77" reach5'9"
CFR 35
★ Official Result
Kevin LeewinsSubmissionR2 · 3:12
def. Francisco Trinaldo · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
Actual result
Lee wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 47% vs Lee at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Trinaldo
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+77"
48
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
35.2
48.6
Performance Avg
48.3
35
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
53
Trinaldo
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
5.6
6.3
Style: Volume
4.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
4
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.6
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trinaldo
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
24
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
4
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Trinaldo
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Trinaldo
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Trinaldo
Lee
Striking3.6 / 3.0Volume6.3 / 4.1Grappling2.4 / 3.8Wrestling1.6 / 2.6Submission1.1 / 3.6Pressure4.4 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Trinaldo
Strike Zones
Lee
Trinaldo
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (71% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Trinaldo
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Trinaldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randy Brown
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny Roberts
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight Grant
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim Salikhov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai Herbert
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel Rodriguez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles Oliveira
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor Gillespie
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos Anjos
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Francisco Trinaldo · Kevin Lee
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