UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
30%
Belbita
70%
Barbosa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:13
Diana
Diana Belbita
"The Warrior Princess"
15 – 10
5'7"68" reachOrthodox29 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
Dione
Dione Barbosa
"The Witch"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barbosa

Barbosa is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Belbita throws more volume but Barbosa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Belbita's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Belbita
Barbosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
66"
29+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Belbita
Barbosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
49.0
25.0
Performance Avg
44.8
25
Quality of Victory
35
0
Momentum Score
55
Belbita
Barbosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
23
6
Body
2
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
20Distance25
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Belbita
Barbosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Belbita
Barbosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Belbita
Barbosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Belbita
Barbosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Belbita
Barbosa
Striking0.5 / 1.2Volume8.5 / 6.5Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure0.8 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Belbita
Strike Zones
Barbosa
Belbita
Attacking
6HEAD6BODY8LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD2BODY2LEGS27 absorbed
Barbosa
Attacking
23HEAD2BODY2LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD6BODY8LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Belbita targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Barbosa absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Barbosa targets the head (85% of attacks) — Belbita absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Belbita
RND
Barbosa
0/0R00/0

Belbita · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0106.2L1.5L4.6W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.2L2.2L2019-102021-072023-062024-022025-04
WinLossTrend

Barbosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W6.3L5.0W6.7L5.4W2024-052024-072025-042025-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Belbita · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Dione BarbosaRating 2.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R1
Molly McCannRating 2.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Maria OliveiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Gloria de PaulaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02

Barbosa · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Ernesta KareckaiteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

News & Media

Diana Belbita · Dione Barbosa
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