METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
28%
Belbita
72%
Barbosa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:13

CFR 21
★ Official Result
Dione BarbosawinsSubmissionR1 · 4:13
def. Diana Belbita · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barbosa
→
Actual result
Barbosa wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Barbosa is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barbosa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Belbita's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BelbitaBarbosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Belbita
Barbosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
66"
30+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Belbita
Barbosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
53.7
25.0
Performance Avg
50.4
25
Quality of Victory
40
0
Momentum Score
55
Belbita
Barbosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
5.5
8.5
Style: Volume
5.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
23
6
Body
2
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
20Distance25
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Belbita
Barbosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Belbita
Barbosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/13 fights
Belbita
Barbosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Belbita
Barbosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Belbita
Barbosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
BelbitaBarbosa
Strike Zones
Belbita
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedBarbosa
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Belbita targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Barbosa absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Barbosa targets the head (85% of attacks) — Belbita absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Belbita
RND
Barbosa
0/0R00/0
Belbita · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Dione BarbosaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R1
Molly McCannSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Maria OliveiraDecision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Gloria de PaulaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
Barbosa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Anna MelisanoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
