METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Krylov
45%
Craig
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:57
★ Official Result
Paul CraigwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:57
def. Nikita Krylov · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krylov
→
Actual result
Craig wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Krylov at 55% vs Craig at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Krylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Craig has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KrylovCraig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Krylov
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
76"
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Krylov
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
49.1
52.7
Performance Avg
50.4
50
Quality of Victory
52
100
Momentum Score
46
Krylov
Craig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
1.5
60%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
16Ground2
Krylov
Craig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Krylov
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
6
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/42 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Krylov
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Krylov
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
6
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Krylov
Craig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
KrylovCraig
Strike Zones
Krylov
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedCraig
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the head (95% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Krylov
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0
Krylov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Craig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Krylov · Last 5
Upcoming
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Upcoming
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