UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Melbourne, Australia
14 Nov 2015
Middleweight
VS
32%
Hall
68%
Whittaker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Whittaker
Whittaker holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Hall has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Whittaker throws more volume but Hall connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hall's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Whittaker has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hall
Whittaker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
73"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hall
Whittaker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
53.4
47.8
Performance Avg
56.0
45
Quality of Victory
46
45
Momentum Score
71
Hall
Whittaker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
51%
Strike Accuracy
44%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
17
3
Body
4
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance12
4Clinch10
0Ground0
Hall
Whittaker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hall
Whittaker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
25/36 fights
Hall
Whittaker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Hall
Whittaker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
35%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hall
Whittaker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
HallWhittaker
Strike Zones
Hall
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedWhittaker
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hall targets the head (56% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Whittaker targets the head (77% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hall
RND
Whittaker
0/0R00/0
Hall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Whittaker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Hall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Chris WeidmanRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · KO · R4
Anderson SilvaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Whittaker · Last 5
Upcoming
Nikita KrylovUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02