METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Porto Alegre, Brazil
22 Feb 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
77%
Andrade
23%
Reneau
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:54
MR
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Marion ReneauwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:54
def. Jessica Andrade · UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Andrade
→
Actual result
Reneau wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Andrade is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reneau has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AndradeReneau
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Andrade
Reneau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'6"
62"
Reach
+68"
34+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Reneau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
14.9
49.4
Performance Avg
44.1
45
Quality of Victory
46
79
Momentum Score
15
Andrade
Reneau
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
6.8
4.9
Style: Volume
2.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Andrade
Reneau
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Andrade
Reneau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Andrade
Reneau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Andrade
Reneau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
80%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Reneau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
AndradeReneau
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedReneau
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (83% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Reneau targets the head (83% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Reneau
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusSubmission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07