UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Welterweight
VS
51%
Rodriguez
49%
Green
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Daniel
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
20 – 5
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw39 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Gabe
Gabe Green
"Gifted"
12 – 5
Well-Rounded33 yrsSwitch73" reach5'10"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 51% vs Green at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
39
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Rodriguez
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.3
51.8
50.7
Performance Avg
45.9
37
Quality of Victory
43
70
Momentum Score
59
Rodriguez
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.9
2.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
70
Head
32
10
Body
25
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
75Distance57
3Clinch1
2Ground0
Rodriguez
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Rodriguez
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
59
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Green
Striking4.4 / 4.3Volume6.2 / 3.7Grappling2.2 / 3.5Wrestling1.6 / 2.4Submission1.0 / 3.3Pressure4.9 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Green
Rodriguez
Attacking
70HEAD10BODY0LEGS80 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD25BODY1LEGS58 absorbed
Green
Attacking
32HEAD25BODY1LEGS58 landed
Absorbing
70HEAD10BODY0LEGS80 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (88% of attacks) — Green absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (55% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Green
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.3W5.3W5.0W5.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.3W4.6L3.0L5.8L4.5W6.0W5.1W2020-022021-042022-112025-052025-07
WinLossTrend

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.4L5.6W5.2W7.0L3.3L5.4W2020-052021-022022-042022-072023-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05

Green · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Matheus CamiloRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Bryan BattleRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R2
Yohan LainesseRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02

News & Media

Daniel Rodriguez · Gabe Green
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