Gegard Mousasi vs Thiago Santos — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes

Las Vegas, USA

9 Jul 2016

Middleweight

42%

Mousasi

58%

Santos

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 4:32

Gegard Mousasi

42 – 6

6'2"76" reachOrthodox41 yrs5-fight win streakStriker

CFR 24

Thiago Santos

"Marreta"

22 – 11

Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"

CFR 32

★ Official Result

Gegard MousasiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:32

def. Thiago Santos · UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Santos

→

Actual result

Mousasi wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Mousasi at 42% vs Santos at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Mousasi's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

MousasiSantos

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Mousasi

Santos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"

Height

6'2"

76"

Reach

76"

41+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Mousasi

Santos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

23.5

32.2

59.2

Performance Avg

54.0

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Mousasi

Santos

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.1

/ 10

9.0

/ 10

6.9

Style: Pressure

7.3

4.2

Style: Volume

2.9

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

11 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

8Distance4

3Clinch0

10Ground1

Mousasi

Santos

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.7

/ 10

0.5

/ 10

1.2

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.4

1.1

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Mousasi

Santos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

5 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/48 fights

Chin rating based on

24/33 fights

Mousasi

Santos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

5-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R4

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

Mousasi

Santos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

79%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mousasi

Santos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

9.0

1.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.5

1.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.4

1.1

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.3

4.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.9

Mousasi

Strike Zones

Santos

Mousasi

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Santos

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Mousasi targets the head (76% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 76% of strikes there

🎯Santos targets the head (60% of attacks) — Mousasi absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mousasi

RND

Santos

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Mousasi · Last 5

W · KO · R2

Chris Weidman

KO/TKO

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04

W · KO · R1

Uriah Hall

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

W · KO · R2

Vitor Belfort

KO/TKO

UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10

W · KO · R1

Thiago Santos

KO/TKO

UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07

W · Dec · R3

Thales Leites

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4

Jamahal Hill

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08

L · Dec · R5

Magomed Ankalaev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

W · Dec · R5

Johnny Walker

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10

L · Dec · R3

Aleksandar Rakic

Decision

UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03

L · Sub · R3

Glover Teixeira

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

News & Media

Gegard Mousasi · Thiago Santos

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