METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Phoenix, USA
15 Jan 2017
Flyweight
VS
56%
Moraga
44%
Pettis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sergio PettiswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Moraga · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraga
→
Actual result
Pettis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Moraga at 56% vs Pettis at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Moraga has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Pettis throws more volume but Moraga connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Moraga's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pettis has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoragaPettis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraga
Pettis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+69"
42
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraga
Pettis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
14.2
47.9
Performance Avg
40.7
42
Quality of Victory
25
64
Momentum Score
55
Moraga
Pettis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
13
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance14
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Moraga
Pettis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraga
Pettis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Moraga
Pettis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
55
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moraga
Pettis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraga
Pettis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
MoragaPettis
Strike Zones
Moraga
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedPettis
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraga targets the head (88% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Pettis targets the head (93% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraga
RND
Pettis
0/0R00/0
Moraga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Pettis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Moraga · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 4.5Decision
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W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tyson NamRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12