UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
20 Sept 2014
Featherweight
VS
49%
Kikuno
51%
Sicilia
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:38
KK
Katsunori Kikuno
24 – 8
5'8"66" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
SS
Sam Sicilia
15 – 8
Striker3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sicilia

This is a genuine toss-up — Kikuno at 49% vs Sicilia at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Kikuno has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Kikuno's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sicilia has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kikuno
Sicilia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
66"
Reach
+67"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kikuno
Sicilia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.2
16.0
38.3
Performance Avg
43.7
37
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
59
Kikuno
Sicilia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Kikuno
Sicilia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kikuno
Sicilia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/32 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Kikuno
Sicilia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Kikuno
Sicilia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kikuno
Sicilia
Striking0.8 / 6.8Volume4.8 / 4.0Grappling5.2 / 1.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Kikuno
Strike Zones
Sicilia
Kikuno
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Sicilia
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kikuno targets the head (60% of attacks) — Sicilia absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Sicilia targets the head (75% of attacks) — Kikuno absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kikuno
RND
Sicilia
0/0R00/0

Kikuno · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.9
0104.5W2.0L5.2W1.5L1.5L2014-012014-052014-092015-032015-09
WinLossTrend

Sicilia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L5.0W4.5W3.3L2.9L5.5L2012-062013-112014-092015-112017-02
WinLossTrend

Kikuno · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Diego BrandaoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Edimilson SouzaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
W · Sub · R2
Sam SiciliaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · KO · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Quinn MulhernRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01

Sicilia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BenitezRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Yaotzin MezaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Akira CorassaniRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Katsunori Kikuno · Sam Sicilia
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