UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
14 Jan 2023
Lightweight
VS
89%
Rebecki
11%
Fiore
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rebecki
Rebecki is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rebecki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Striking split: Rebecki throws more volume but Fiore connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rebecki's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rebecki
Fiore
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+72"
33
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rebecki
Fiore
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
5.8
43.8
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Rebecki
Fiore
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
61%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
2Clinch0
7Ground0
Rebecki
Fiore
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rebecki
Fiore
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Rebecki
Fiore
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rebecki
Fiore
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rebecki
Fiore
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RebeckiFiore
Strike Zones
Rebecki
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedFiore
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rebecki targets the head (75% of attacks) — Fiore absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Fiore targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rebecki absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rebecki
RND
Fiore
0/0R00/0
Rebecki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Fiore · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Rebecki · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Grant DawsonRating 5.5Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris DuncanRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 6.1Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Fiore · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01