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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
14 Jan 2023
Lightweight
VS
90%
Rebecki
10%
Fiore
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mateusz
Mateusz Rebecki
205
5'7"66" reachSouthpaw33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
NF
Nick Fiore
62
Well-Rounded2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 6
★ Official Result
Mateusz RebeckiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nick Fiore · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rebecki
Actual result
Rebecki wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Rebecki is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rebecki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.

Risk flags

Rebecki's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RebeckiFiore
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Rebecki
Fiore
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+72"
33
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rebecki
Fiore
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.1
5.8
48.5
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Rebecki
Fiore
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.3
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
2Clinch0
7Ground0
Rebecki
Fiore
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rebecki
Fiore
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
9/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Rebecki
Fiore
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rebecki
Fiore
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rebecki
Fiore
Striking5.1 / 0.0Volume4.3 / 0.0Grappling2.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Rebecki
Strike Zones
Fiore
Rebecki
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Fiore
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rebecki targets the head (75% of attacks) — Fiore absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Fiore targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rebecki absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rebecki
RND
Fiore
0/0R00/0

Rebecki · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Kyle Prepolec
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · Sub · R3
Grant Dawson
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit Klein
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris Duncan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Myktybek Orolbai
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

Fiore · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Chase Hooper
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz Rebecki
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01

News & Media

Mateusz Rebecki · Nick Fiore
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