UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Middleweight
VS
59%
Lungiambula
41%
Perez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lungiambula
This is a genuine toss-up — Lungiambula at 59% vs Perez at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Lungiambula throws more volume but Perez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lungiambula's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lungiambula
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
76"+
Reach
73"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lungiambula
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
17.1
33.9
Performance Avg
42.5
38
Quality of Victory
52
30
Momentum Score
39
Lungiambula
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
4
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance9
3Clinch5
0Ground0
Lungiambula
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lungiambula
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Lungiambula
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
39
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Lungiambula
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lungiambula
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
LungiambulaPerez
Strike Zones
Lungiambula
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedPerez
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lungiambula targets the body (67% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the body (64% of attacks) — Lungiambula absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lungiambula
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
Lungiambula · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Lungiambula · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 3.7KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Markus PerezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · KO · R1
Dricus Du PlessisRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08