The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale
Las Vegas, USA
19 Jun 2010
Lightweight
VS
83%
Gunderson
17%
Holst
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JG
John Gunderson
"Quick Guns"
35 – 16
5'9"69" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 12
MH
Mark Holst
"Boots"
12 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gunderson

Gunderson is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gunderson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Gunderson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Gunderson
Holst
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
47
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gunderson
Holst
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.8
2.4
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Gunderson
Holst
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.2
58%
Strike Accuracy
22%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
4
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Gunderson
Holst
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gunderson
Holst
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/51 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Gunderson
Holst
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Gunderson
Holst
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gunderson
Holst
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume8.7 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Gunderson
Strike Zones
Holst
Gunderson
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Holst
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gunderson targets the head (45% of attacks) — Holst absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Holst targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Gunderson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gunderson
RND
Holst
0/0R00/0

Gunderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L4.5W5.5L2010-012010-062010-09
WinLossTrend

Holst · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5L1.5L2010-062010-10
WinLossTrend

Gunderson · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Yves EdwardsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
W · Dec · R3
Mark HolstRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Rafaello OliveiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01

Holst · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Paul SassRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
John GundersonRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06

News & Media

John Gunderson · Mark Holst
← Back to fights