UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Uniondale, USA
22 Jul 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
38%
Cummins
62%
Villante
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PC
Patrick Cummins
"Durkin"
10 – 7
6'2"76" reachOrthodox45 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
GV
Gian Villante
17 – 14
Well-Rounded4-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Villante

Villante holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Cummins has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cummins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cummins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Villante has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cummins
Villante
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
76"
45
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cummins
Villante
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
20.4
39.0
Performance Avg
40.8
34
Quality of Victory
42
45
Momentum Score
33
Cummins
Villante
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
24
1
Body
1
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance25
8Clinch0
0Ground0
Cummins
Villante
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cummins
Villante
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
18/31 fights
Cummins
Villante
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Cummins
Villante
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cummins
Villante
Striking4.3 / 6.5Volume6.3 / 4.2Grappling1.6 / 1.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.7 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Cummins
Strike Zones
Villante
Cummins
Attacking
25HEAD1BODY6LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD1BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Villante
Attacking
24HEAD1BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD1BODY6LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cummins targets the head (78% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Villante targets the head (96% of attacks) — Cummins absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cummins
RND
Villante
0/0R00/0

Cummins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W2.1L5.5W3.1L1.5L5.1W4.5W5.5L1.5L1.7L2014-022015-042017-042019-05
WinLossTrend

Villante · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.1L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.7W2.5L4.0L5.5L3.8L2013-042015-072017-072020-062021-11
WinLossTrend

Cummins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ed HermanRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Misha CirkunovRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04

Villante · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

News & Media

Patrick Cummins · Gian Villante
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