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UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Sydney, Australia
26 Feb 2011
Middleweight
VS
42%
Camozzi
58%
Noke
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:35
CC
Chris Camozzi
2413
6'2"75" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
KN
Kyle Noke
2210
Well-Rounded3-fight slide46 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'1"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Kyle NokewinsSubmissionR1 · 1:35
def. Chris Camozzi · UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Noke
Actual result
Noke wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Camozzi at 42% vs Noke at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Noke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Risk flags

Camozzi's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Noke has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CamozziNoke
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Camozzi
Noke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Camozzi
Noke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
19.5
37.6
Performance Avg
50.4
31
Quality of Victory
51
63
Momentum Score
59
Camozzi
Noke
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
7.3
6.3
Style: Volume
2.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
2
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Camozzi
Noke
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Camozzi
Noke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
2
Strikes absorbed / min
19/37 fights
Chin rating based on
12/32 fights
Camozzi
Noke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Camozzi
Noke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Camozzi
Noke
Striking2.1 / 6.0Volume6.3 / 2.3Grappling2.5 / 3.1Wrestling1.7 / 2.1Submission1.1 / 3.3Pressure3.0 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Camozzi
Strike Zones
Noke
Camozzi
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Noke
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Camozzi targets the body (50% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Noke targets the head (50% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Camozzi
RND
Noke
0/0R00/0

Camozzi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor Smith
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel Kelly
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales Leites
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor Miranda
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe Riggs
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02

Noke · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari Akhmedov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita Nakamura
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex Morono
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter Sobotta
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin Webb
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05

News & Media

Chris Camozzi · Kyle Noke
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