UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Sydney, Australia
26 Feb 2011
Middleweight
VS
42%
Camozzi
58%
Noke
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:35
CC
Chris Camozzi
2413
6'2"75" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
KN
Kyle Noke
2210
Well-Rounded3-fight slide46 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'1"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Noke

This is a genuine toss-up — Camozzi at 42% vs Noke at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Noke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Noke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Camozzi's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Noke has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Camozzi
Noke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Camozzi
Noke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
19.5
37.6
Performance Avg
50.4
31
Quality of Victory
51
63
Momentum Score
59
Camozzi
Noke
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
2
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Camozzi
Noke
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Camozzi
Noke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
2
Strikes absorbed / min
19/37 fights
Chin rating based on
12/32 fights
Camozzi
Noke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Camozzi
Noke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Camozzi
Noke
Striking2.1 / 6.0Volume6.3 / 2.3Grappling2.5 / 3.1Wrestling1.7 / 2.1Submission1.1 / 3.3Pressure3.0 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Camozzi
Strike Zones
Noke
Camozzi
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Noke
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Camozzi targets the body (50% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Noke targets the head (50% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Camozzi
RND
Noke
0/0R00/0

Camozzi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L6.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L5.5L5.5L2010-062012-062014-072016-052017-05
WinLossTrend

Noke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.2W5.0W1.7L5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L5.5L2010-062011-082014-042016-012016-11
WinLossTrend

Camozzi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02

Noke · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita NakamuraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter SobottaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin WebbRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05

News & Media

Chris Camozzi · Kyle Noke
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