UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jun 2023
Featherweight
VS
60%
Sabatini
40%
Almeida
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sabatini
Sabatini holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Almeida has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Almeida throws more volume but Sabatini connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sabatini's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Almeida has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sabatini
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+71"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sabatini
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
36.9
53.2
Performance Avg
35.8
34
Quality of Victory
38
81
Momentum Score
33
Sabatini
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
2Clinch1
1Ground0
Sabatini
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sabatini
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Sabatini
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
33
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Sabatini
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sabatini
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
SabatiniAlmeida
Strike Zones
Sabatini
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sabatini targets the head (50% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the body (50% of attacks) — Sabatini absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sabatini
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
Sabatini · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Sabatini · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 5.6Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Joanderson BritoRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Almeida · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michael Aswell Jr.Rating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Danny SilvaRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Timmy CuambaRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Andre FiliRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R2
Pat SabatiniRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06