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UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Middleweight
VS
14%
Berish
86%
Janes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KB
Keith Berish
"Sha Bang Bang"
51
6'0"Orthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 3
RJ
Ryan Janes
103
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Ryan JaneswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Keith Berish · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Janes
Actual result
Janes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Janes is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Janes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.

Janes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BerishJanes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Berish
Janes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
Reach
76"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Berish
Janes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
16.8
0.0
Performance Avg
42.5
0
Quality of Victory
38
0
Momentum Score
53
Berish
Janes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
1.9
36%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
15
1
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance16
2Clinch2
1Ground2
Berish
Janes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Berish
Janes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Strikes absorbed / min
2/6 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Berish
Janes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
53
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Berish
Janes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Berish
Janes
Striking0.0 / 6.0Volume0.0 / 5.0Grappling0.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Berish
Strike Zones
Janes
Berish
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Janes
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Berish targets the head (78% of attacks) — Janes absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Janes targets the head (75% of attacks) — Berish absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Berish
RND
Janes
0/0R00/0

Janes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.6L5.5L5.5W2016-122017-022017-072017-12
WinLossTrend

Berish · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Ryan JanesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
Upcoming
Robert Drysdale
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07

Janes · Last 4

W · KO · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Jack MarshmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Keith BerishRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12

News & Media

Keith Berish · Ryan Janes
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