METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Melbourne, Australia
14 Nov 2015
Welterweight
VS
56%
Noke
44%
Sobotta
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:01
★ Official Result
Kyle NokewinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:01
def. Peter Sobotta · UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Noke
→
Actual result
Noke wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Noke at 56% vs Sobotta at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Noke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Noke's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sobotta has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NokeSobotta
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Noke
Sobotta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
75"
46
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Noke
Sobotta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
15.1
50.4
Performance Avg
39.8
51
Quality of Victory
40
59
Momentum Score
50
Noke
Sobotta
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
4.7
2.3
Style: Volume
4.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
2
Body
0
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance2
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Noke
Sobotta
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Noke
Sobotta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/32 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Noke
Sobotta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Noke
Sobotta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Noke
Sobotta
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
NokeSobotta
Strike Zones
Noke
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSobotta
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Noke targets the head (57% of attacks) — Sobotta absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Sobotta targets the head (100% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Noke
RND
Sobotta
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Noke · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita NakamuraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter SobottaKO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin WebbDecision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
Sobotta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R3
Leon EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeKO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11