METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2020
Bantamweight
VS
67%
Smolka
33%
Quinonez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:15
★ Official Result
Louis SmolkawinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:15
def. Jose Quinonez · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smolka
→
Actual result
Smolka wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Smolka holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Quinonez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smolka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Smolka has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Smolka's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Quinonez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmolkaQuinonez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smolka
Quinonez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+69"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Smolka
Quinonez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.6
13.2
46.5
Performance Avg
40.7
46
Quality of Victory
31
60
Momentum Score
38
Smolka
Quinonez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
6
Body
5
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance9
5Clinch2
12Ground0
Smolka
Quinonez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smolka
Quinonez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
42
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/14 fights
Smolka
Quinonez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
38
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Smolka
Quinonez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
20%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smolka
Quinonez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
SmolkaQuinonez
Strike Zones
Smolka
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedQuinonez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smolka targets the head (68% of attacks) — Quinonez absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Quinonez targets the body (45% of attacks) — Smolka absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smolka
RND
Quinonez
0/0R00/0
Smolka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Quinonez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Smolka · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Vince MoralesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Jose QuinonezRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R1
Casey KenneyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Ryan MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Quinonez · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Carlos HuachinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R2
Nathaniel WoodRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02