METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2020
Bantamweight
VS
67%
Smolka
33%
Quinonez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:15
LS
Louis Smolka
"Da Last Samurai"
179
5'9"68" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 27
JQ
Jose Quinonez
"Teco"
95
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'8"
CFR 13
★ Official Result
Louis SmolkawinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:15
def. Jose Quinonez · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smolka
Actual result
Smolka wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Smolka holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Quinonez has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Smolka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Risk flags

Smolka's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Quinonez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SmolkaQuinonez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Smolka
Quinonez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+69"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Smolka
Quinonez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.6
13.2
46.5
Performance Avg
40.7
46
Quality of Victory
31
60
Momentum Score
38
Smolka
Quinonez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.9
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
3.1
2.9
Style: Volume
7.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
6
Body
5
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance9
5Clinch2
12Ground0
Smolka
Quinonez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smolka
Quinonez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
42
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/14 fights
Smolka
Quinonez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
38
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Smolka
Quinonez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
20%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smolka
Quinonez
Striking5.9 / 1.1Volume2.9 / 7.5Grappling2.6 / 3.5Wrestling1.8 / 2.5Submission2.5 / 2.0Pressure6.7 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Smolka
Strike Zones
Quinonez
Smolka
Attacking
15HEAD6BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD5BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Quinonez
Attacking
3HEAD5BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD6BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smolka targets the head (68% of attacks) — Quinonez absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Quinonez targets the body (45% of attacks) — Smolka absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smolka
RND
Quinonez
0/0R00/0

Smolka · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Davey Grant
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Vince Morales
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Jose Quinonez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R1
Casey Kenney
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Ryan MacDonald
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

Quinonez · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Louis Smolka
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · KO · R1
Sean O'Malley
KO/TKO
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Carlos Huachin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R2
Nathaniel Wood
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Teruto Ishihara
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02

News & Media

Louis Smolka · Jose Quinonez
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