UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Lightweight
VS
53%
Haqparast
47%
Gordon
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nasrat
Nasrat Haqparast
18 – 6
5'10"72" reachSouthpaw30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Jared
Jared Gordon
"Flash"
21 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Haqparast

This is a genuine toss-up — Haqparast at 53% vs Gordon at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Haqparast throws more volume but Gordon connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Haqparast's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Haqparast
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
68"
30+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Haqparast
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.0
42.1
45.6
Performance Avg
42.8
32
Quality of Victory
36
72
Momentum Score
63
Haqparast
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
2.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
68
Head
65
5
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
73Distance70
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Haqparast
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Haqparast
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Haqparast
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Haqparast
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Haqparast
Gordon
Striking3.3 / 4.4Volume7.7 / 6.4Grappling1.9 / 1.6Wrestling1.3 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.4 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Haqparast
Strike Zones
Gordon
Haqparast
Attacking
68HEAD5BODY1LEGS74 landed
Absorbing
65HEAD4BODY1LEGS70 absorbed
Gordon
Attacking
65HEAD4BODY1LEGS70 landed
Absorbing
68HEAD5BODY1LEGS74 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Haqparast targets the head (92% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (93% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Haqparast
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0

Haqparast · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.6W4.5W5.9W2.7L4.5W5.3W6.4L6.2L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.9W5.2W3.6L2017-102020-012022-022024-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Gordon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W2.5L4.6L4.5W2.9L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.6W7.2L5.2W6.2L5.2W4.8L1.9L2017-062019-112022-082025-092026-05
WinLossTrend

Haqparast · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

Gordon · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Nasrat Haqparast · Jared Gordon
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