METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
16 Jan 2021
Middleweight
VS
74%
Buckley
26%
Chirico
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:12
★ Official Result
Alessio Di ChiricowinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:12
def. Joaquin Buckley · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Buckley
→
Actual result
Chirico wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Buckley is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Buckley's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chirico has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BuckleyChirico
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buckley
Chirico
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
32+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Buckley
Chirico
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.0
20.4
50.6
Performance Avg
39.3
41
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
25
Buckley
Chirico
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
4.6
3.5
Style: Volume
4.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
1
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Buckley
Chirico
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buckley
Chirico
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
36
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
11/20 fights
Buckley
Chirico
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Buckley
Chirico
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buckley
Chirico
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
BuckleyChirico
Strike Zones
Buckley
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedChirico
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buckley targets the head (67% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Chirico targets the head (50% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buckley
RND
Chirico
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Buckley · Last 5
Upcoming
Mike MalottUFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyDecision
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L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby CovingtonUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen ThompsonKO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
Chirico · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin BuckleyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovDecision
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