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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
Vancouver, Canada
14 Jun 2014
Welterweight
VS
49%
Sarafian
51%
Kunimoto
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:52
DS
Daniel Sarafian
10 – 6
5'9"73" reachOrthodox44 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 19
KK
Kiichi Kunimoto
"Strasser"
18 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Kiichi KunimotowinsSubmissionR1 · 2:52
def. Daniel Sarafian · UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kunimoto
→
Actual result
Kunimoto wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Sarafian at 49% vs Kunimoto at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sarafian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Risk flags

Sarafian's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SarafianKunimoto
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
44+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
19.7
46.0
Performance Avg
45.8
55
Quality of Victory
36
59
Momentum Score
92
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
4.1
0.7
Style: Volume
3.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
92
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sarafian
Kunimoto
Striking5.7 / 1.2Volume0.7 / 3.9Grappling4.0 / 3.5Wrestling2.8 / 2.4Submission5.0 / 3.3Pressure8.0 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Sarafian
Strike Zones
Kunimoto
Sarafian
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 absorbed
Kunimoto
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sarafian targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kunimoto absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Kunimoto targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Sarafian absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sarafian
RND
Kunimoto
0/0R00/0

Sarafian · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Oluwale Bamgbose
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · KO · R2
Antonio Dos Santos
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R1
Kiichi Kunimoto
Submission
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Cezar Ferreira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Eddie Mendez
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06

Kunimoto · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Zak Ottow
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Neil Magny
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Richard Walsh
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
W · Sub · R1
Daniel Sarafian
Submission
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · R1
Luiz Dutra
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01

News & Media

Daniel Sarafian · Kiichi Kunimoto
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