UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
Vancouver, Canada
14 Jun 2014
Welterweight
VS
49%
Sarafian
51%
Kunimoto
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kunimoto
This is a genuine toss-up — Sarafian at 49% vs Kunimoto at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sarafian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Kunimoto has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sarafian's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
19.7
46.0
Performance Avg
45.8
55
Quality of Victory
36
59
Momentum Score
92
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
92
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sarafian
Kunimoto
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
SarafianKunimoto
Strike Zones
Sarafian
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedKunimoto
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sarafian targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kunimoto absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Kunimoto targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Sarafian absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sarafian
RND
Kunimoto
0/0R00/0
Sarafian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Kunimoto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Sarafian · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Oluwale BamgboseRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · KO · R2
Antonio Dos SantosRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R1
Kiichi KunimotoRating 1.5Submission
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Eddie MendezRating 5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Kunimoto · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Richard WalshRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
W · Sub · R1
Daniel SarafianRating 5Submission
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · R1
Luiz DutraRating 4UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01