UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2015
Middleweight
VS
50%
Leites
50%
Boetsch
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Leites
This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 50% vs Boetsch at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Leites
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
74"
44+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
16.6
48.8
Performance Avg
46.0
40
Quality of Victory
43
35
Momentum Score
69
Leites
Boetsch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
57%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance7
2Clinch0
0Ground2
Leites
Boetsch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Leites
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Leites
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Leites
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
5
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Boetsch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
LeitesBoetsch
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedBoetsch
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (75% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Leites · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Boetsch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11