UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Featherweight
VS
43%
Collard
57%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CC
Clay Collard
"Cassius"
14 – 7
5'11"73" reachOrthodox33 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 10
Td
Tiago dos Santos e Silva
"Trator"
20 – 7
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Collard at 43% vs Silva at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Collard
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Collard
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.1
13.6
25.0
Performance Avg
35.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
33
Momentum Score
56
Collard
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
28%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
18
7
Body
10
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
31Distance30
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Collard
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Collard
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/27 fights
Collard
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Collard
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Collard
Silva
Striking0.5 / 1.0Volume8.5 / 9.0Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Collard
Strike Zones
Silva
Collard
Attacking
24HEAD7BODY3LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD10BODY2LEGS30 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
18HEAD10BODY2LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD7BODY3LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Collard targets the head (71% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (60% of attacks) — Collard absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Collard
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Collard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.1L4.5W5.7L5.5L2014-082014-122015-062015-09
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W1.5L4.5W5.5L2014-072015-022015-092016-12
WinLossTrend

Collard · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08

Silva · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Shane BurgosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Clay CollardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Akbarh ArreolaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07

News & Media

Clay Collard · Tiago dos Santos e Silva
← Back to fights