METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
71%
Teixeira
29%
Maldonado
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Glover TeixeirawinsR2 · 5:00
def. Fabio Maldonado · UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Teixeira
→
Actual result
Teixeira wins
Pre-fight analysis
Teixeira is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Teixeira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maldonado has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TeixeiraMaldonado
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Teixeira
Maldonado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
75"
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Teixeira
Maldonado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
17.5
58.4
Performance Avg
39.8
51
Quality of Victory
36
59
Momentum Score
81
Teixeira
Maldonado
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
2.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
63%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
4
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance5
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Teixeira
Maldonado
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Maldonado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
Teixeira
Maldonado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Teixeira
Maldonado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
40%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Maldonado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
TeixeiraMaldonado
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMaldonado
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (95% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Maldonado targets the head (80% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Maldonado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Maldonado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Maldonado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03