UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Atlantic City, USA
30 Mar 2024
Middleweight
VS
45%
Weidman
55%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 2:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Weidman at 45% vs Silva at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Weidman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Weidman
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
74"
41
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Weidman
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
61.6
57.0
Performance Avg
49.0
55
Quality of Victory
58
51
Momentum Score
91
Weidman
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Weidman
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weidman
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
46
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/24 fights
Chin rating based on
11/36 fights
Weidman
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
91
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Weidman
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weidman
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
WeidmanSilva
Strike Zones
Weidman
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedSilva
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weidman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weidman
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Weidman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Weidman · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

